Key Seats to Watch on June 8th

If you’ve only got time to keep up with 10 key seats after voting on June 8th, then boy have we got the 10 constituencies for you!

  1. Gower! In 2015, the Conservatives won this seat by a margin of 27 votes. With Labour coming second and UKIP third. If the progressive parties’ votes were added together in 2015, then the Progressive Vote advantage over Conservatives would have been 5,737 votes. In order to help Labour win this seat the Green Party candidate stood down.
  2. Derby North!  Won by the Conservatives by 41 votes in 2015. Again with Labour second and UKIP third. A Progressive Vote had an advantage over Conservatives of 5,409 votes. The Green Party candidate has also stood down to help Progressive Alliance.
  3. City of Chester! A Labour victory in 2015 by 93 votes, will show the strength of Labour at this election. The Conservatives came second and UKIP third. Once again the Green Party candidate has stood down to help Progressive Alliance.
  4. Croydon Central! The Conservatives won by 165 votes in 2015. With Labour in second and UKIP third. A Progressive Vote would have won by 2,441 votes.
  5. Ynys Mon! Another must hold for Labour, who won by 229 votes in 2015! Labour face competition for voters from Plaid Cymru, who came second in 2015. With Conservatives third.
  6. Vale of Clwyd! In 2015, the Conservatives won by 237 votes! Leaving Labour in second and UKIP third. Once again, a Progressive Vote would have beaten the Conservatives by 3,164 votes.
  7. Ealing Central and Acton! A Labour victory in 2015, by 274 votes! With the Conservatives in second and the Lib Dems in third. In Ealing, the Green Party candidate has stood down to help a Progressive Alliance beat the Tories.
  8. Berwickshire, Roxburgh, and Selkirk! SNP won by 328 votes in 2015, and this will be a good sign of how well they have done this election. Also possibly how popular a second referendum on independence is! The Conservatives finished second and Lib Dems third in 2015.
  9. Bury North! The Conservatives won by 378 votes in 2015. Which left Labour in second and UKIP third. Meanwhile, a Progressive Vote would have sealed a 1,695 vote victory over the Conservatives. The Green Party candidate has again stood down to help Labour beat the Tories.
  10. Wirral West! This will be another Labour test of strength after they won by 417 votes in 2015. With the Conservatives in second and UKIP third.

If you have a little extra time to keep up with some additional seats on June 8th and 9th then you can find a list of 139 of the most interesting seats in this year’s General Election here!

Outside the top 10 above we recommend

  • Southampton Itchen / Southampton Test – In 2015 the Conservatives stole Southampton Itchen away from Labour, which had been generationally Labour. However, Itchen has seen the Conservatives rising ever since 2010, while Labour’s grip has been slipping. Itchen will be crucial to see if the Southampton is a Tory stronghold. Meanwhile, Test remained a strong Labour seat in 2015, but the rise of UKIP will be a worry for Labour fans. In 2016 Southampton voted to leave the EU, so once again the questions in Southampton, especially Test, will be whose vision of Brexit do they prefer? Also, should Test go, Tory, then many people will see that as a nail in Labour’s coffin within the South.
  • South Thanet – The location of one of UKIP’s greatest battles, and defeats, in 2015! UKIP had hoped to pry the seat out of Tory claws, a task put to party leader Nigel Farage. However, Farage failed to overcome the Conservative Mackinlay. However, UKIP gained a respectable 26% from the previous election, largely from the Tories and Lib Dems. However, in the run-up to this election, Mackinlay was charged with election fraud over expenses from the 2015 race. It will be interesting to see how this charge effects Tory turnout alongside a UKIP party, many claims is falling from relevance, who will once again be hoping to steal the seat.
  • Brentford and Isleworth – Labour won here in 2015 beating the Conservatives by only 465 votes. That was with the Lib Dems having been virtually wiped out in the constituency and a strong UKIP presence. This time it’s gonna be a shootout between Labour, Conservatives and the Lib Dems! No UKIP and the Greens have also pulled out. This will be a real test of Labour and Conservative strength, with the added interest of whether the Lib Dems having recovered after a bad 2015.
  • Eastleigh – For generations, Eastliegh was a Lib Dem stronghold. The constituency represented as sure a seat as the party could name. However, in 2015 the seat slipped through Lib Dem fingers and was snatched away by the conservatives. Having talked to many Eastleigh residence, it appears Farron has done well in healing the parties broken image, following the coalition. However, Eastleigh will be a very good barometer for the Lib Dems recovery.
  • Stoke – Having overwhelmingly voted to leave the EU in 2016, the biggest question in Stoke constituencies is whose vision of Brexit do they want?! The traditional stronghold for Labour has witnessed growing support for UKIP over previous elections, with Stoke-on-Trent Central seeing an 18.3 point bump in the 2015 election from 2010.  The Stoke area could yet be a decisive set of constituencies for a Labour show of strength and resolve, especially on the issue of Brexit.
  • Newcastle-Under-Lyme – Having voted to leave the EU, Newcastle-Under-Lyme voters will also likely be choosing between Corbyn’s and May’s Brexit vision. Usually a strong Labour seat, Labour will be under threat from the Conservatives. Labour only won in 2015 here by 650 votes, however, that was with a strong UKIP presence. With no UKIP this time around the fear for Labour will be pro-Brexit voters will side with the Tories for Brexit negotiations.
  • Kingston and Surbiton – In 2016 the borough voted to remain in the EU, yet in 2015 they voted the Lib Dems out in favour of the Conservatives. This was the first non-Lib Dem MP to come out of the constituency. However, the Tories only won by 2,834 votes, as the Lib Dems lost over 8,000 of their votes from 2010. Although, a Progressive Alliance vote would have won by 8,062 votes ahead of the Tories in 2015. This seat will be a test of Lib Dem strength and recovery, against Conservative resolve.

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